I tried this once before, but wasn't able to build enough momentum in time.
Different platform this time.
Click, sign it, make the world a better place:
http://petitions.moveon.org/sign/a-35-hour-work-week-will
Read more about why this is a fantastic idea on my post about the first attempt:
http://biodieselhauling.blogspot.com/2011/10/dramatically-reduce-unemployment-by.html
Tuesday, 10 September 2013
Monday, 9 September 2013
Some Thoughts on Partnership and Extra-Marital Sex; Monogamy VS Sexual Exclusivity
First of all, I need to clarify a very important point, that many people seem to get wrong more often than not.
The suffix "-gamy" means "marriage".
It does NOT refer to sex. It refers to romantic commitment - and more specifically, a religious and/or government sanctioned commitment (because two people can be entirely committed to each other without ever getting married).
The alternatives to monogamy are being single, or being polygamous, which means being married to more than one person.
The term for not having sex with anyone other than your spouse (or other committed romantic partner) is sexual exclusivity.
This is not just semantics. It is in fact a crucial distinction, and without proper and consistent terminology, it is completely impossible to talk about the topic in any meaningful way.
So, for example, in a culture where polygamy is legal and culturally accepted, a man could have two or three wives. If he never has sex with anyone other than those several wives, he is maintaining sexual exclusivity, even though he is not monogamous. On the other hand, a married couple who are into swinging are monogamous, even though they are not practicing sexual exclusivity.
And both of them are practicing sexual fidelity - the word fidelity means "faithful" or "loyal", and none of the people in these examples are cheating. It is only cheating if it is against the rules, and everyone involved in both the polygamous relationship and the swinger's relationship is agreeing to the same set of rules.
When people talk about "open" relationships, or polyamory, they can mean either having multiple committed romantic relationships (which might not, but probably will, involve sex), or they can be talking about having only one committed romantic relationship, but one or more other non-romantic sexual partners.
I am only going to be talking about the second option.
Human beings are complicated creatures. We don't really have emotions and thoughts of our own, they are intrinsically entangled with the people and culture around us. There may be many other social animals, but none else has communication detailed and complex enough to have a culture that modifies individual preference, opinion, and experience. So, if we want to try to separate out which parts of those things we take for granted are fundamental to who we are, and which are handed to us externally, its often helpful to look at other species besides ourselves. In some ways studying chimpanzee politics can tell us things about ourselves that studying human politics doesn't.
Lets try it!
Of course the vast majority of all animal life is not monogamous to begin with. In mating season its either a free-for-all, or its winner-take-all for the strongest male around. But 90% of all birds and a small but significant number of rodents and primates are monogamous. And it turns out that with extremely few exceptions, all of these monogamous species are using the term literally - once they have picked a mate, they tend to stay with that one partner for years, if not for a lifetime. Yet among all of those creatures sharing a life with one partner, 90% of those species do not maintain strict sexual exclusivity. DNA testing of bird families find anywhere from 20 to 70% of the chicks are not technically sired by the father that raises them. But ultimately, DNA makes less of a difference than family, and the mother's partner is the baby bird's father by default, and invests parental resources in the chick.
Both sexes are observed to have extra-marital affairs, and this generally has little to no effect on the permanence of the primary partnership. To say these animals are "cheating" is to anthropomorphize them. The idea of monogamy implying sexual exclusivity appears to be almost entirely a human cultural invention.
Which, if you step back from the assumptions most of us have always taken for granted, sort of begs the question of why we do that.
There may be some part of it that is rooted in biological based jealousy - on some level a person fears that if their partner has children with another person, they may divert resources they would have spent on your shared off-spring on the affair partner's instead. In an age of cheap, effective and readily available birth control this concern is far less valid, but of course our emotions evolved millions of years before modern technology, and evolution progresses far slower than science. But the cultural demands of fidelity are much stronger and more consistent than any individual feeling of relationship insecurity. Many cultures designate adultery to be an offense - in some even a capital offense - even if it is consensual by all parties involved. When something is considered unethical even if no one is hurt in anyway, chances are there is a more insidious root to it. Religious and political leaders have used controlling sexuality as a means to control the populous in general for as long as there has been such a thing as religion and politics. Centralized power is the original reason for almost all sexual morays, from outlawing prostitution, banning non-reproductive sexual activity, to the concept of sanctioned marriage. The moray against adultery is no exception. Having someone else decide how, when, and with whom you may have sex train you to be cede independence and be obedient in general. It also allows much more certainty of paternity, which ensures that males can be forced to help raise their biological offspring, which is good for women and helps make society more stable. At the same time, it allows keeping track of paternal lines, which is essential for patriarchy to function. In particular, it facilitates the concept of inheritance, particularly of land, so it is a vital component of any caste, serfdom or capitalist system whose aim is to keep the genetic line of those who are already wealthy, wealthy in to the future.
As with many other concepts of "morality" which began as a means of top down control (like loyalty to country being a basic virtue), or "traditions" which were invented by marketers (like a diamond ring representing marriage) it was almost completely successful. It has been entirely internalized by the vast majority of people, in almost every culture, so that very few even question whether it is actually an automatic and natural feeling, and not something imposed externally.
I have always known, from as young as I can remember (and probably earlier), that I wanted a life partner. What that means to me is not universal, but I don't think it is particularly rare either.The suffix "-gamy" means "marriage".
It does NOT refer to sex. It refers to romantic commitment - and more specifically, a religious and/or government sanctioned commitment (because two people can be entirely committed to each other without ever getting married).
The alternatives to monogamy are being single, or being polygamous, which means being married to more than one person.
The term for not having sex with anyone other than your spouse (or other committed romantic partner) is sexual exclusivity.
This is not just semantics. It is in fact a crucial distinction, and without proper and consistent terminology, it is completely impossible to talk about the topic in any meaningful way.
So, for example, in a culture where polygamy is legal and culturally accepted, a man could have two or three wives. If he never has sex with anyone other than those several wives, he is maintaining sexual exclusivity, even though he is not monogamous. On the other hand, a married couple who are into swinging are monogamous, even though they are not practicing sexual exclusivity.
And both of them are practicing sexual fidelity - the word fidelity means "faithful" or "loyal", and none of the people in these examples are cheating. It is only cheating if it is against the rules, and everyone involved in both the polygamous relationship and the swinger's relationship is agreeing to the same set of rules.
When people talk about "open" relationships, or polyamory, they can mean either having multiple committed romantic relationships (which might not, but probably will, involve sex), or they can be talking about having only one committed romantic relationship, but one or more other non-romantic sexual partners.
I am only going to be talking about the second option.
Human beings are complicated creatures. We don't really have emotions and thoughts of our own, they are intrinsically entangled with the people and culture around us. There may be many other social animals, but none else has communication detailed and complex enough to have a culture that modifies individual preference, opinion, and experience. So, if we want to try to separate out which parts of those things we take for granted are fundamental to who we are, and which are handed to us externally, its often helpful to look at other species besides ourselves. In some ways studying chimpanzee politics can tell us things about ourselves that studying human politics doesn't.
Lets try it!
Of course the vast majority of all animal life is not monogamous to begin with. In mating season its either a free-for-all, or its winner-take-all for the strongest male around. But 90% of all birds and a small but significant number of rodents and primates are monogamous. And it turns out that with extremely few exceptions, all of these monogamous species are using the term literally - once they have picked a mate, they tend to stay with that one partner for years, if not for a lifetime. Yet among all of those creatures sharing a life with one partner, 90% of those species do not maintain strict sexual exclusivity. DNA testing of bird families find anywhere from 20 to 70% of the chicks are not technically sired by the father that raises them. But ultimately, DNA makes less of a difference than family, and the mother's partner is the baby bird's father by default, and invests parental resources in the chick.
Both sexes are observed to have extra-marital affairs, and this generally has little to no effect on the permanence of the primary partnership. To say these animals are "cheating" is to anthropomorphize them. The idea of monogamy implying sexual exclusivity appears to be almost entirely a human cultural invention.
Which, if you step back from the assumptions most of us have always taken for granted, sort of begs the question of why we do that.
There may be some part of it that is rooted in biological based jealousy - on some level a person fears that if their partner has children with another person, they may divert resources they would have spent on your shared off-spring on the affair partner's instead. In an age of cheap, effective and readily available birth control this concern is far less valid, but of course our emotions evolved millions of years before modern technology, and evolution progresses far slower than science. But the cultural demands of fidelity are much stronger and more consistent than any individual feeling of relationship insecurity. Many cultures designate adultery to be an offense - in some even a capital offense - even if it is consensual by all parties involved. When something is considered unethical even if no one is hurt in anyway, chances are there is a more insidious root to it. Religious and political leaders have used controlling sexuality as a means to control the populous in general for as long as there has been such a thing as religion and politics. Centralized power is the original reason for almost all sexual morays, from outlawing prostitution, banning non-reproductive sexual activity, to the concept of sanctioned marriage. The moray against adultery is no exception. Having someone else decide how, when, and with whom you may have sex train you to be cede independence and be obedient in general. It also allows much more certainty of paternity, which ensures that males can be forced to help raise their biological offspring, which is good for women and helps make society more stable. At the same time, it allows keeping track of paternal lines, which is essential for patriarchy to function. In particular, it facilitates the concept of inheritance, particularly of land, so it is a vital component of any caste, serfdom or capitalist system whose aim is to keep the genetic line of those who are already wealthy, wealthy in to the future.
As with many other concepts of "morality" which began as a means of top down control (like loyalty to country being a basic virtue), or "traditions" which were invented by marketers (like a diamond ring representing marriage) it was almost completely successful. It has been entirely internalized by the vast majority of people, in almost every culture, so that very few even question whether it is actually an automatic and natural feeling, and not something imposed externally.
One's partner should be their closest confidant. You should feel as comfortable around them as you are when you are alone, and more comfortable than around any other person. You should trust them - and they should be able to trust you - more than any one else.
You would generally live with your partner, and if you choose raise children, you would do that together. If one of you moves, both of you moves. This is not always true of roommates, even if the roommates are best friends.
To me, a partner should be the person you spend the most discretionary time with. Not only the most, but probably more than everyone else put together.
You would generally live with your partner, and if you choose raise children, you would do that together. If one of you moves, both of you moves. This is not always true of roommates, even if the roommates are best friends.
To me, a partner should be the person you spend the most discretionary time with. Not only the most, but probably more than everyone else put together.
There are those who have a spouse or a partner or a boyfriend or girlfriend, and then they have a different person who is their "best friend".
I have never understood that. If the BFF is a better friend than the spouse, then why wouldn't you be partners with BFF instead?
If only difference between friend and partner is whether or not you have sex, then that means the relationship is based on sex.
Which seems pretty superficial and meaningless.
If the sole defining feature of a romantic relationship is that you have sex together, then it shouldn't matter what her/his religion, politics, culture, values, hobbies, preferences, intelligence, humor, or education are; or even whether they speak the same language. One's only criteria should be to find the most physically attractive partner that reciprocates your interest.
In fact, outside of humans, since there is no language, that is exactly how it is done (although, as noted above, that very rarely implies sexual exclusivity). Non-human animals have no religion, no politics, no education, and no culture, values or hobbies (or so we assume!)
Almost all of us want at least a little more than that though. Why then do most of us insist that sex is the single defining feature of a meaningful romantic relationship?
To me, having my partner consider someone other than me her best friend, choosing to spend more time around someone other than me, feeling they could trust or relax around someone else more than around me, or enjoying their time with someone else more than with me, all of these things would feel far more threatening to my relationship than her occasionally having casual sex with someone else. Because those are the things that make a relationship special. A person can have sex with anyone.
If "cheating" refers specifically and exclusively to sexual activity - then that is saying in no uncertain terms that sex is the one thing that defines the relationship.
To me, making the relationship about sex - by implying it is the only thing the differentiating it from a good friendship - cheapens the relationship. Certainly, if someone else was your primary sex partner, that might raise legitimate questions - just like if someone else was your primary play partner, or your primary secret sharing partner.
Even if one specific person was a secondary sex partner, but it was both regular and frequent, that might be legitimate grounds for concern.
That could be treading dangerously close to affair territory, especially since sex has the potential to stir up romantic feelings.
But barring that situation to prevent one's partner from straying need not automatically bar the occasional indulgence in a one time random circumstance with a (otherwise platonic) friend or coworker or new acquaintance.
Perhaps you get invited on a trip to some natural hotsprings on a warm summer night, everyone jumps in naked, and the algae is making the cave walls glow, and some more people come along, so to try to make space your friend moves a little closer to you... and a little closer to you... and before you know it - well, you know... and its crazy and random and fun, and its not exactly meaningless since it was an actual friend and not a random stranger one-night-stand, but there is exactly zero romantic feeling or interest between you in either direction.
If only difference between friend and partner is whether or not you have sex, then that means the relationship is based on sex.
Which seems pretty superficial and meaningless.
If the sole defining feature of a romantic relationship is that you have sex together, then it shouldn't matter what her/his religion, politics, culture, values, hobbies, preferences, intelligence, humor, or education are; or even whether they speak the same language. One's only criteria should be to find the most physically attractive partner that reciprocates your interest.
In fact, outside of humans, since there is no language, that is exactly how it is done (although, as noted above, that very rarely implies sexual exclusivity). Non-human animals have no religion, no politics, no education, and no culture, values or hobbies (or so we assume!)
Almost all of us want at least a little more than that though. Why then do most of us insist that sex is the single defining feature of a meaningful romantic relationship?
To me, having my partner consider someone other than me her best friend, choosing to spend more time around someone other than me, feeling they could trust or relax around someone else more than around me, or enjoying their time with someone else more than with me, all of these things would feel far more threatening to my relationship than her occasionally having casual sex with someone else. Because those are the things that make a relationship special. A person can have sex with anyone.
If "cheating" refers specifically and exclusively to sexual activity - then that is saying in no uncertain terms that sex is the one thing that defines the relationship.
To me, making the relationship about sex - by implying it is the only thing the differentiating it from a good friendship - cheapens the relationship. Certainly, if someone else was your primary sex partner, that might raise legitimate questions - just like if someone else was your primary play partner, or your primary secret sharing partner.
Even if one specific person was a secondary sex partner, but it was both regular and frequent, that might be legitimate grounds for concern.
That could be treading dangerously close to affair territory, especially since sex has the potential to stir up romantic feelings.
But barring that situation to prevent one's partner from straying need not automatically bar the occasional indulgence in a one time random circumstance with a (otherwise platonic) friend or coworker or new acquaintance.
Perhaps you get invited on a trip to some natural hotsprings on a warm summer night, everyone jumps in naked, and the algae is making the cave walls glow, and some more people come along, so to try to make space your friend moves a little closer to you... and a little closer to you... and before you know it - well, you know... and its crazy and random and fun, and its not exactly meaningless since it was an actual friend and not a random stranger one-night-stand, but there is exactly zero romantic feeling or interest between you in either direction.
If someone I cared about ended up in a situation like that, I would want them to go ahead with it, to enjoy the night to the fullest, because, if I care about them, I want them to be happy, and I want them to experience pleasure. Would I feel a sharp twinge of jealousy if my partner came home and shared all the details with me? Of course I would! Its only human. This is why I'd ask her not to tell me all the details (especially not anytime soon after it happened). But overall, my desire for her to enjoy life would outweigh my own selfish desire to never have to experience sharp twinges of jealousy. For it not to would be terribly selfish (not to mention possessive). Frankly, as long as she avoids any pathogens that she could pass on to me, I don't really see how its even any of my business, any more than who her friends are or what she does with family when they visit.
There seems to be - in the part of the world I live in, at least - a growing number of people who get this, but even among those who haven't bought into the "sex and love are interchangeable" non-sense, a lot still get the ideas of monogamy vs polygamy and sexual exclusivity vs sexual freedom confused or at least muddled.
I feel like I was a much better writer when I did it more often.
I can't remember any more how to write a decent closing sentence.
Labels:
biology,
christianity,
history,
love,
relationships,
sex
Friday, 30 August 2013
Refuting the "Big Car = Safe" Myth
It is a universally known "fact" that the bigger the vehicle you drive, the safer you are.
Even those who buy small vehicles know this, they just feel that the increase in risk is small, and the benefits to parking, mileage, and cost are worth it.
Like many other universally known things, it just happens to be wrong.
This is extremely easy to prove: just look at the actual crash statistics, compiled by vehicle weight:
(the NHTSA website is down, if / when it is restored, I'll post links to the original data)
At first glance this may appear to support the myth: Large vans are at the bottom, with the least crashes, and compact cars are at the top, with the most.
But look a little closer:
Subcompact cars are SAFER than compact cars. They are even safer than small pickup trucks.
But subcompact cars weight LESS than small pick up trucks, as well as less than compacts.
Skip down a couple more lines: Full size cars are SAFER than full-size SUVs and standard pick-ups, even though on average they weigh substantially less.
But wait, there's more! Midsize cars actually rank as safer than all sizes of truck, all sizes of SUV, and even safer than full-size cars!
So, if you were rationalizing that SUVs and trucks are only more dangerous than large cars due to roll-over risk, you still have to explain why midsize cars have fewer fatalities than large cars.
Here is similar data, with different presentation: a chart of risk relative to average (100=average) of several vehicle types
Vehicle Class Avg. Weight Relative Fatality Risk
Subcompact (high-risk) 2,000lbs 143
Sports Cars 3,200lbs 142
Compact Pick-ups 3,500lbs 123
1/2-ton pick-ups 4,300lbs 105
3/4-ton pick-ups 5,400lbs 101
1-ton pick-ups 7,000lbs 100
Compact cars 2,500lbs 96
Subcompact (low risk) 2,000lbs 85
Truck based SUV 5,400lbs 82
Large Cars 4,400lbs 75
Mid Size Cars 3,200lbs 74
Full-size Vans 5,000lbs 52
Cross-over SUVs 3,500lbs 48
Minivans 4,500lbs 40
This data is from a different range of years, and formatted differently, so there isn't 100% agreement, but it shows the same trend - or rather, lack-there-of: there is absolutely no direct correlation between vehicle weight and risk of fatality.
Even within a single body type: cross-over SUVs weigh less than truck-based, yet have lower fatality rates.
Minivans weigh less than full-size vans, yet have lower fatality rates.
Mid-size cars weigh less than full-size, yet have lower fatality rates.
Notice that the authors of this study divided sub-compacts into two categories, because the range of data points was so wide. Were they lumped together (as is often the case), the really bad ones would seemingly drag the safer ones down with them, making the entire category look bad, when its really a specific set of them.
The lower risk subcompacts were found in real world crash statistics to have LOWER FATALITY RATES THAN TRUCKS OF ALL SIZES, up to and including the largest category of "passenger" truck, the 1-ton; which, despite the name, weigh in the range of 3-4 tons, up to 4 times as much as the sub-compacts that are safer than them.
The lower risk subcompacts were found in real world crash statistics to have LOWER FATALITY RATES THAN TRUCKS OF ALL SIZES, up to and including the largest category of "passenger" truck, the 1-ton; which, despite the name, weigh in the range of 3-4 tons, up to 4 times as much as the sub-compacts that are safer than them.
Here is yet more data, in case you like graphs better than charts:
This graph is counting fatalities per crash, so its already assuming a crash occurs:
(from: http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/808570.pdf )
And this one, specifically for the type of crash where weight matters most: frontal collision with another vehicle
(from: http://energy.lbl.gov/ea/teepa/pdf/aps-ppt-wenzel.pdf )
You can download the original full reports if you want all the details, but the important thing to take away from these you can see at a glance: the dots are all over the place. There is no trend for the lighter cars to have more fatalities, whether you look at per vehicle, per accident, or even per accident involving another car.
This should be enough.
Case closed.
The data is clear: heavier cars aren't safer.
But of course it isn't so simple. Not because the facts are complicated, but because the human mind is complicated.
We aren't optimized to think in terms of statistics, we are optimized to think in anecdote.
And so when the most well-intentioned people attempt to study auto safety in order to improve it, even professional researchers fall victim to the same faulty reasoning and assumptions as the general public, generalizing things like "common sense" and "crash test data" to actual real-world risk.
And so, despite what the actual information about the real world clearly shows, even the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) claims
"All other things being equal, occupants in a bigger, heavier vehicle are better protected than those in a smaller, lighter vehicle."
That sentence stands alone, as though it were universally factually accurate... but then soon after it is qualified by the important distinction that makes it accurate:
"Weight comes into play in a collision involving two vehicles. The bigger vehicle will push the lighter one backward during the impact. As a result, there will be less force on the occupants of the heavier vehicle and more on the people in the lighter vehicle."
(Then, to demonstrate this, they have a graph not of vehicle weight, but of vehicle size relative to risk (the bigger in size, the bigger the crumple zone))
This second sentence is actuate, and it is where all the confusion comes from.
The qualifier is nearly always neglected, but it absolutely completely 100% changes the context and meaning of the entire idea.
A heavier car is safer IN A HEAD-ON COLLISION WITH ANOTHER VEHICLE.
Here's the thing about that, though:
Most car accidents aren't head-on collisions with other vehicles.
In fact, the majority of them aren't.
In fact, the vast majority of them aren't.
Head-on collisions only make up 2% of all car crashes!!
(They make up 9% of fatalities, so even limiting to severe accidents, they are relatively insignificant - 89% of fatal accidents are not head-on)
In comparison, rear-end accidents make of 32% of all crashes.
Collision with fixed objects make up 33.5% of all crashes.
Rollovers accounts for 10%
In a collision with a solid object, like a concrete barrier or a tree, the total deceleration will be the same whether you are in a mini car or a land yacht: essentially whatever speed you were going to zero instantly.
In a rear-end accident, your car gets pushed forward, and instead of jerk, you just get acceleration. The energy is absorbed by the movement of your vehicle. You may get whiplash, but you don't get dead.
Consider the most extreme scenario: you are in a passenger car, and you get hit from behind by a 80,000 lbs semi-truck.
As long as you don't aren't pushed into the car ahead of you and get smushed (which you won't, if you leave proper following distances) the fatality rate is only 0.34%
Even if you get hit from behind by a vehicle that weighs 40 tons, about 20 times more than your car, you have a 980 in 1000 chance of survival.
http://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/facts-research/research-technology/analysis/rear-end-crashes.htm
http://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/facts-research/research-technology/analysis/rear-end-crashes.htm
Least you think that's only because rear-end collisions only happen at low speed, when its the cars hitting the semi's, the fatality rate is about 4 times higher - for the car, running into the semi is almost as bad as running into a brick wall. When its the semi hitting the car, the car gets pushed forward, the movement absorbs the kinetic injury, and everyone is happy and smiling.
This shows two things: two things: 1) Rear-end accidents are rarely fatal regardless of size differential, and 2) the direction an impact comes from absolutely does change whether weight matters.
If the mass differential of a semi-truck - 80,000lbs - vs a car - 4000lbs - is so insignificant, what do you think the impact of mass is on a rear-end collision between a 2000lb car and a 4000lb car? The answer is none.
In a side impact the situation is similar: the impact force in tangential to your momentum, and so the amount of momentum you have is irrelevant. Simple thought experiment: whether you are speeding or at a stand still, getting broad-sided will impact you equally hard. Momentum doesn't matter. But then why would mass?
In fact the IIHS themselves - the very people who state categorically on their consumer website that "heavy cars are safer", say explicitly elsewhere on their consumer site:
"Unlike frontal crash test ratings, side ratings can be compared across vehicle type and weight categories. This is because the kinetic energy involved in the side test depends on the weight and speed of the moving barrier, which are the same in every test."
In other words, in a side-impact crash, your car's weight makes absolutely no difference.
But side-impacts make up 23% of crashes, and 18% of fatalities (compared to 2% and 9% for frontal crashes), so this rather undermines their own claim about the impact of weight.
In roll-overs, too, weight does nothing to improve your chances.
Fixed objects, rear-ends, side-impacts, roll overs - in 98% of all crashes, extra weight does literally nothing to protect you.
How much sense does it make that simulated two-vehicle frontal impact tests are the standard for "crash testing", when it is one of the least common types of crash?
So what about those few times you are actually on a high-speed undivided back-country highway, and some drunk crosses over the double yellow lines?
Even then, weight is not the most important factor.
KE=½ mass X velocity²
Kinetic Energy= (1/2 of mass) X (Speed squared)
KE=½ mass X velocity²
Kinetic Energy= (1/2 of mass) X (Speed squared)
The impact of your relative speeds is squared (multiplied by itself). The impact of weight is divided by two. The speed you are going is overwhelmingly more important than how heavy your car is.
Ok, so...
If there is all this evidence that weight really doesn't matter that much to safety, then why does everyone - even people who's entire job is analyzing car crashes, keep repeating the same myth?
Perhaps for the same reason you, the reader, are still not convinced.
Because, on a purely intuitive level, this belief feels like it makes sense.
It is an extension of the (equally false) assumption that being in a car is safer than being on a motorcycle: "because the steel cage protects you".
How could you not feel safer in a nice strong cage than exposed to the world?
Here's the thing about that though: a steel cage does not "absorb" the crash energy. It TRANSMITS it. It transmits it through the steel structure of itself, and on to you. The stronger it is, the more effectively that force is transmitted. Think about the "Newton's cradle" desk toy:
5 steel balls on strings, the first one is given a swing, and when it hits the rest, the force travels right though them to the last one. The last one takes just as much impact as it would if the first hit it directly, because the others are solid, and the force just goes right through them. It doesn't even matter that the 3 in the center have a combined mass of 3 times as much as the two on the ends. The one on the end is in no way "protected" by them, as they don't "absorb" and of the force, they simply transmit it.
5 steel balls on strings, the first one is given a swing, and when it hits the rest, the force travels right though them to the last one. The last one takes just as much impact as it would if the first hit it directly, because the others are solid, and the force just goes right through them. It doesn't even matter that the 3 in the center have a combined mass of 3 times as much as the two on the ends. The one on the end is in no way "protected" by them, as they don't "absorb" and of the force, they simply transmit it.
Because it feels right intuitively, and because it is repeated as a given almost universally, no amount of text is going to help people understand the error of this belief.
They say a picture is worth 1000 words, so a moving picture has got to be worth even more:Here is perhaps a less abstract way to think of it:
Imagine that, instead of being inside a car, you are standing in front of one that is parked. It is parked in neutral, with no parking brake on, but it is on perfectly flat ground, so it doesn't move. You are just standing there, minding your own business, when a truck comes along and runs into the car. Imagine how this will affect you. Is the mass of the car going to somehow magically absorb the impact energy and make it go away? No, of course not, its going to start moving forward. And then its going to hit you, with close to as much force as if the truck had just hit you directly.
But if the mass of the car doesn't do anything to protect you when it is fully between the truck and your body, why would it do anymore to protect you if you are inside of it?
The answer is that it doesn't. Like the Newton's cradle, the steel frame of a car simply transmits the force of any impacts on to you.
This is why modern cars have crumple zones. They are deliberately, by design, weaker than the solid steel tanks of the past. Of course they aren't arbitrarily weaker - the human containing cabin is made stiff, while the front and rear are made soft on purpose so they take the impact energy.
Take, for example, this crash test between an old tank of a car and its modern descendant (which, incidentally, is about 200lbs lighter)
http://youtu.be/mJ5PcWziXT0
But even with crumple zones, having a steel cage doesn't do much to keep you safe on its own. Another major difference between the old and new cars is seat belts and airbags.
Seatbelts and airbags don't actually protect you from the car that crashes into you. They protect you from you hitting the inside of your own car. The entire reason for having seat belts and airbags is to protect you FROM the steel cage you are riding in.
Given that a car has seatbelts and airbags (and that you actually use them) to protect you from the steel and glass of your own car, having strategically placed crumple zones outside of a stronger solid frame around the passenger compartment creates infinitely more safety in a crash than increasing mass, as shown in the crash test above, where the slightly lighter car completely obliterates the poor crash test dummy in the older car.
But even with two misunderstandings corrected, we are still looking at the entire question the entirely wrong way!
Because we are still thinking in terms of how survivable the passenger compartment of our car is, in the event of a severe crash.
This means we are treating severe crashes as though they are inevitable. In the real world, of course, since about 98% of accidents are caused by human error, its fair to say that nearly all accidents are avoidable. They shouldn't even be called "accidents", because it makes it sound like its just some random thing that happens. Really the wast majority of auto collisions are negligence, and the part of one or both drivers. If everyone drove below the speed limit, left large following gaps, refrained from alcohol and drugs, avoided all electronic distractions, and focused on driving safely, the fatal accident rate would drop from the single largest cause of accidental death to fairly negligible. Combined with proper maintenance, it would be barely above zero.
So if severe accidents aren't actually inevitable, maybe instead of just focusing on likelihood of surviving an accident, it would make more sense to factor in the risk of getting into an accident in the first place.
Ask yourself: Which would you rather do, crash and survive, or not crash in the first place?
Ask yourself: Which would you rather do, crash and survive, or not crash in the first place?
So then you have to wonder, what factors might reduce the chances of getting into a crash?
Well, if you are going 60MPH in a 5,500lb Ford Expedition on a rural highway, and a truck pulls out from a cross street 140 feet ahead of you. If you instantly apply maximum brakes (ignoring reaction time, which is the same regardless of vehicle) you are going to slam into it at roughly 35mph, the same speed that crash tests are conducted at, and enough to cause very serious injury.
If, however, you were driving the 3000lb Ford Focus, and were in the exact same situation, you would be able to come to a full stop a full 26 feet in front of the truck.
All other things being equal, smaller cars tend to have better braking distances, more maneuverability, and frequently better 360 degree roadway visibility for the driver compared to a larger vehicle.
Comparing trucks and SUVs to cars, due to their higher clearance, are far more likely to roll over, an event with a higher risk of fatality than most accident types.
In addition to all those factors making them capable of avoiding accidents better, the lack of (false) perception of safety may encourage drivers of small cars to take fewer stupid risks (which are, ultimately, the cause of almost all accidents). The very fact that people feel safe in big vehicles make them do more stupid stuff, like speeding and reckless driving, than the drivers of smaller vehicles. It's called risk compensation - and its counter-productive when the assessment of risk is completely wrong.
In addition to all those factors making them capable of avoiding accidents better, the lack of (false) perception of safety may encourage drivers of small cars to take fewer stupid risks (which are, ultimately, the cause of almost all accidents). The very fact that people feel safe in big vehicles make them do more stupid stuff, like speeding and reckless driving, than the drivers of smaller vehicles. It's called risk compensation - and its counter-productive when the assessment of risk is completely wrong.
Extra mass only comes into play in a helpful way in 2% of crashes. In the other 98% it is neutral at best - but in some percent, it is almost certainly a contributing factor - not only because of worse braking distance and handling, but also by encouraging drivers to drive worse. In that last 2% mass helps, but not nearly as much as people assume.
This myth has been a significant driver of the trend of average passenger vehicles on the road to get heavier and heavier, as consumers pick cars that feel "safe", fueled by crash tests ratings being treated interchangeably with "safety", and official proclamations by official agencies. One thing that is shown consistently in the statistics is that heavier cars and trucks are definitely much more deadly on average to the people they hit. So the net effect is more traffic fatalities overall. This is more than just counterproductive. It is tragic.
Every time you here this myth repeated, think about the cartoons above. Think about the graphs and charts. And don't let the myth influence your next car purchase.
Wednesday, 28 August 2013
Refuting the theory that physiologically facilitating rape is "self-protective"
I've been surprised to come across more and more references lately to a relatively new theory among some sex researchers that the reason women reflexively lubricate to certain stimuli which they don't self-report as being arousing is that it evolved as the body's way of protecting itself in the case of sexual assault.
Here is an example:
Genital response to sexual stimuli may be an evolved self-protection mechanism. Female genital response is an automatic reflex that is elicited by sexual stimuli and produces vaginal lubrication, even if the woman does not subjectively feel sexually aroused...Female genital response entails increased genital vasocongestion, necessary for the production of vaginal lubrication, and can, in turn, reduce discomfort and the possibility of injury during vaginal penetration. Ancestral women who did not show an automatic vaginal response to sexual cues may have been more likely to experience injuries that resulted in illness, infertility, or even death subsequent to unexpected or unwanted vaginal penetration, and thus would be less likely to have passed on this trait to their offspring....Reports of women's genital response and orgasm during sexual assaults suggests that genital responses do occur in women under conditions of sexual threat.
http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/love-sex-and-babies/201105/why-do-women-get-physically-aroused-and-not-even-know-it
Genital response to sexual stimuli may be an evolved self-protection mechanism. Female genital response is an automatic reflex that is elicited by sexual stimuli and produces vaginal lubrication, even if the woman does not subjectively feel sexually aroused...Female genital response entails increased genital vasocongestion, necessary for the production of vaginal lubrication, and can, in turn, reduce discomfort and the possibility of injury during vaginal penetration. Ancestral women who did not show an automatic vaginal response to sexual cues may have been more likely to experience injuries that resulted in illness, infertility, or even death subsequent to unexpected or unwanted vaginal penetration, and thus would be less likely to have passed on this trait to their offspring....Reports of women's genital response and orgasm during sexual assaults suggests that genital responses do occur in women under conditions of sexual threat.
http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/love-sex-and-babies/201105/why-do-women-get-physically-aroused-and-not-even-know-it
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3090633/
"Brown et al. found that many women respondents express a clear preference for dry, tight, sex. Respondents believe that if a man has a small penis, powders help create a good feeling for the woman. One woman explains, “A women feels no pleasure when the vagina has too much liquid.”(11)"
http://www.consultancyafrica.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1019:dry-tight-and-warm-dry-sex-practices-in-central-and-southern-africa-&catid=59:gender-issues-discussion-papers&Itemid=267
When asked specifically about any harmful effects of vaginal tightness and dryness, some participants admitted that an extremely dry vagina could cause problems. One man reported, “It’s natural for all guys to go crazy for a woman who is dry, but you have to make love carefully. If you want to be rough, you can get hurt. A man can get cuts and wounds and catch diseases” (Judith Brown, personal communication, November 1999)
http://www.wisdomofwhores.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/Halperin-1999-dry.pdf
The materials used for vaginal practices include traditional herbs
and an array of natural products as well as common commercial p
roducts such as alum, boric acid, and bactericides. According to Halperin, many women use these produc ts for ‘dry sex.’ Their partners have been found to suffer penile injuries, lacerations to the foreskin, and bleeding (Halperin 1999).
and an array of natural products as well as common commercial p
roducts such as alum, boric acid, and bactericides. According to Halperin, many women use these produc ts for ‘dry sex.’ Their partners have been found to suffer penile injuries, lacerations to the foreskin, and bleeding (Halperin 1999).
http://paa2007.princeton.edu/papers/7131
Respondents believe that the man should hurt or suffer a little during penetration [Brown et. al]
http://www.consultancyafrica.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1019:dry-tight-and-warm-dry-sex-practices-in-central-and-southern-africa-&catid=59:gender-issues-discussion-papers&Itemid=267
Unfortunately, none of them have any mention of the relative prevalence of pain or injury to male vs female partners.
In a cross-sectional survey of general population residents of Cape Town, South Africa, 21% of men and 16% of women reported coital bleeding in the past 3 months,
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16688100
Unfortunately, the summary does not distinguish between menses bleeding (the majority of reports) and injury, and it is unclear if the reports were of either partner's bleeding, or of self only. Either way it seems likely that those numbers indicate the frequency of injury to men to be higher. The initial paper likely does, but it has not yet been made available
The most conclusive I could find was this:
In all, 1454 cases of reported coital injuries were reviewed; 790 occurred in men while 664 occurred in women, mainly in the genital area. Physical urological complications were more common in men than in women.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11856110/
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11856110/
Which, again, is not specific to insufficient lubrication, but it shows a very clear higher risk of injury to male genitalia from various forms of sexual contact than to female.
This completely undermines the "self-protection from rape via facilitating rape" theory.
The opposite reaction would likely cause greater injury to an attacker than to the victim, and would therefore discourage rapists from attempting it in the first place.
Of course the fact remains that women do produce lubrication in response to sexually explicit stimuli which they subjectively report as not being arousing, and the reason for that is still in question. I offer no theory of my own at this time (although the very first article I posted - http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/love-sex-and-babies/201105/why-do-women-get-physically-aroused-and-not-even-know-it - offers 3 alternative possible explanations). My only purpose here is questioning the validity of the "facilitating rape is self-protective" claim, the very idea of which I suspect is only possible in a society with a deeply internalized misogyny.
[much more evidence of our deeply internalized misogyny here: http://biodieselhauling.blogspot.com/2013/01/RapeAndFeminismPage1.html ]
Sunday, 4 August 2013
"Culture" and "Race" are not interchangeable
Take a look at the following 10 people, one at a time
Think about who they are.What do they likely do for work? How much do they make? What do they enjoy doing on their off time? What would you guess there religion is, what kind of food do they eat, where did they grow up, and how do they vote? Who do they socialize with, and what inspires their morality?
Tell a story about each one.
Also: Where are these people probably from? What is the cultural background of each person? What is their ethnic heritage?
Tell a story about each one.
What is each one's race?
How do you know?
A reader recently sent me a link to an article about housing discrimination:
http://alumni.stanford.edu/get/page/magazine/article/?article_id=37414
http://alumni.stanford.edu/get/page/magazine/article/?article_id=37414
(and, oddly enough, it was not in response to my recent controversial post on race, but rather on a fairly neutral post on perception, ideology, and the naturally unscientific human brain.)
Its quite short, but if you don't care to read it, I'll summarize it briefly:
A Black professor had just moved to teach at Stanford, and was looking for a place to live. Upon arriving at a place, he was told by 4 landlords that the apartment had already been rented to someone else.
He suspected the landlords were lying, because they didn't want a Black tenant, and as a way of testing this theory, he started responding to ads while deliberately talking in what he called "an African-American or Latino accent", or in "professional standard English".
His theory of discrimination was supported by the rates at which each accent generated a call back and an offer to view an apartment.
Discrimination, obviously.
But was it racism?
When the professor spoke in professional standard English, his calls were returned and he was offered a chance to follow up.
But here is the key point that both he and the post's author seem to have neglected:
When he spoke in professional standard English, he was still Black!
Which means the landlords were discriminating, but not necessarily on the basis of race. They were discriminating on the basis of culture. And it is fair to question whether that discrimination is actually unreasonable.
Suppose instead of "professional standard English" to simulate "white", he had said:
Wal how does y'all? I’s mahnear fixna move, an' so I's recon I'd call an' git up wit' yo' 'bout thet thar hase yo' haf advahtised in th' paper.
We don't know what the response rate really would have been, since he didn't try it, but we can probably safely guess that it would have been lower than for the professional English accent. Why? Because they way a person talks often is at least somewhat an indication of their level of education. And a person's level of education is frequently associated with their level of income, their stability, and their responsibility. These are all things which matter to a landlord, because they are trusting someone with what is likely their most valuable asset and a significant portion of their income.Certainly people with low education can still be responsible and economically secure, and people with thick accents can be educated, and that's where the prejudice lies.
This isn't to say that many landlords (and employers, and judges, and cops) may not also be racist. But the mere fact of discriminating on cultural lines does not at all imply it, and almost never do anti-racism activists take that distinction into account when trying to prove their case via statistics.
Yes, its true that the person who drives this car is likely to be watched a little more closely by the cops:
...are all more likely to get more police attention than the people who drive these:
Not because of being able to guess the race of the driver, but because choosing to drive those particular vehicles is a possible sign that the person belongs to a subculture which, among other things, has a lack of respect for certain laws.
In other words: if you sag your pants, you don't get to claim that you are discriminated against because of your race.
If you speak "ebonics", you don't get to claim you are being discriminated against because of your race.
And here people generally object that I am saying that in order to be accepted, black people should "act white".
Except, as I already pointed out, there is a world of difference between the accent, slang, and culture of your stereotypical "Deliverance" type inbred Southern country redneck, hick, hillbilly and/or bumpkin, and a Stanford Professor (whether white or black).
So many people have claimed that the dialect of poor uneducated urban black people should be legitimized that the term "ebonics" itself is recognized by non-linguists.
And few seem to notice how extremely racist that is.
It is not unique to modern America, nor to racial sub-cultures, that poor uneducated people distort the predominate language of the society they live in.
Take, for example, the 1912 English play "Pygmalion" (known to American's as "My Fair Lady") in which two high society types make a bet over whether a low class girl can be made to fit into respectable society by teaching her to speak properly. There is zero race element involved: this is England in 1912 - everyone is white. This is about class, and it's affect on education. No one has ever tried to give poor white slang (British or American) its own name, and suggested deliberately teaching it in schools.
The attempt to legitimize it in the case of (poor urban) black people is equivalent to saying "yours is naturally the culture of poverty". To say that speaking proper English is "trying to sound white" is saying "If you are Black, you should sound ignorant."
The linguistic history of the way in which many poor black urban people speak does not trace itself back to any African roots. It did not develop from slaves holding onto their native languages and incorporating old and new words to build an African / English hybrid language. It developed for the same reason redneck and cockney and the lower-class and rural versions of every other language did: the lower-classes are denied access to education.
Suggesting that speaking proper English is trying to "be white" is like telling black people they should voluntarily ride on the back of the bus in order to honor their heritage.
When a person grows up on a backcountry Southern farm, gets good grades in high-school, goes on to college, and starts a successful business, few chastise that person for speaking standard American English. Few say that they are denying their heritage by not continuing to talk in the style of the independent paragraph above. Few say they are "trying to be urban mid-western" or "trying to be urban northern Californian", (which are the accents which most America's think of as a "neutral" American accent, even among people who have a different accent themselves.)
Suggesting that speaking proper English is trying to "be white" is like telling black people they should voluntarily ride on the back of the bus in order to honor their heritage.
When a person grows up on a backcountry Southern farm, gets good grades in high-school, goes on to college, and starts a successful business, few chastise that person for speaking standard American English. Few say that they are denying their heritage by not continuing to talk in the style of the independent paragraph above. Few say they are "trying to be urban mid-western" or "trying to be urban northern Californian", (which are the accents which most America's think of as a "neutral" American accent, even among people who have a different accent themselves.)
Looking back at the cars and clothing above; does it count as a prejudice to suspect a person of having a higher than average chance of criminal conduct if they have made a deliberate choice to externally identify as part of a sub-culture which, among other things, accepts - or even glorify - criminal conduct? Is it prejudice to suspect Bubba-Joe Jed Walker of being a moonshiner before suspecting Chris Johnson? Is it prejudice to suspect the guy driving the lowered Honda with a spoiler and tinted windows is more likely to speed than the person driving a Yaris? Or to suspect the Harley rider to have a higher chance of drunk driving, or the raised pick-up driver more likely to have a gun?
As soon as you cross the line from "I have a higher suspicion" to "I am sure that this particular person is guilty" then it becomes prejudice. Until then, all you are doing is recognizing patterns. That's one of those things the human brain does that allows us to function in the real world.
There are always going to be some people who can't make that distinction. Even after they meet the goose that walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, and the goose explains that it is a goose that grew up around ducks, but that it has rejected the negative aspects of duck culture even while appropriating those that it personally enjoys, those people will still insist on calling the goose a duck, and treating it as such. But the vast majority can and do make that distinction.
This is why I, a Black male who grew up and spent most of his life in a poor, high crime area, can say that, no, actually, I haven't ever been unfairly targeted by the cops, I haven't ever been followed in a store, I haven't been unfairly denied a chance at jobs or housing that I was qualified for, and the only two times I have been called a derogatory race-based word (which I will not repeat here, because, in my opinion, it is not anymore ok for me to use just because I happen to be black then it is ok for anyone else to use it) were both by drug-addict white trash at the very bottom of society.
Because, no matter what initial thought flashes through the sub-conscious of whatever cop / employer / landlord, all it takes is a couple seconds of me opening my mouth and speaking to correct whatever preconceptions they may have had about me as an individual.
Because, no matter what initial thought flashes through the sub-conscious of whatever cop / employer / landlord, all it takes is a couple seconds of me opening my mouth and speaking to correct whatever preconceptions they may have had about me as an individual.
This is something we could be teaching our minority urban youth. It would go a long way to reducing both violence and prejudice.
I have linked to this video before, after the uproar over Oscar Grant's shooting, but it is still a lesson a lot of people need to learn:
I have linked to this video before, after the uproar over Oscar Grant's shooting, but it is still a lesson a lot of people need to learn:
Unfortunately, our culture basically teaches young black males the exact opposite lesson - that the cops are out to get them, and they should fight back - with predictable, and not so funny, results.
There are two factors that should be kept in mind when looking at statistics around race.
There are two factors that should be kept in mind when looking at statistics around race.
First, a higher proportion of Black people commit violent crime than other races. This rate is still very very low, but it is disproportionately high given the size of the population. This means that the vast majority of people are innocent, but you should still expect the population with the higher level of crime to get the higher level of police attention, even if every cop were color blind.
Second, on top of that, you have a significant portion of the population that deliberately attempts to emulate the criminal subculture. Its right there in the word! Gansta. As in gangster. As in professional, organized, and violent criminal. The subculture's media has been explicitly glorifying violence and criminal behavior since about the mid-80s, and it has been one of the dominate influences on culture ever since. Most people (and birds) mistake the viceroy for the monarch. That was the viceroy's intention. It would be odd for the viceroy to get mad at everyone for confusing it with the monarch. It would be odder still for the birds to internalize that, and feel guilty for having trouble telling them apart. No one is confusing a red admiral, or a yellow swallowtail for a monarch. If they were, sure, I'd agree with the suggestion that the person claiming "all butterflies are exactly alike" is being speciest. But before you can call it racism, you have to factor out all the wanna-be viceroys getting pulled over for Driving While Viceroy, because they are representing a sub-culture, not a race.
Will these two factors (actual statistical crime rate, and a sub-culture of emulating criminals) account for 100% of apparent / perceived prejudice?
Probably not. As I have pointed out in the past (Heading 14; in Which Reparations are Still Due and Race (Whites still winning) and Awareness of White Privilege VS Actually Working to Change it) the effects of past racism are definitely still a factor in today's society and in the inequality between different races.
But if we are going to have an honest and / or productive discussion about American race relations, everyone needs to be aware of, and acknowledge, that those factors exist.
No one should be punished for attributes they were born with, but it is reasonable to hold people accountable for their choices.
Culture is not race.
Race is not culture.
One you are born with.
The other is a choice.By the way... you know that purple cowboy in that picture above?
He's an Aboriginal American ("American Indian" / "Native American"). Not a white guy.
Thursday, 1 August 2013
7% of communication is words (not really though)
Just discovered what the ridiculous claim about non-verbal communication probably comes from - you know, where some corporate or academic class on effective communication claims that only 7% of a message is transmitted by the actual words (and the rest by tone and body language)?
This is of course just obviously false on the face of it: if it were true, we could communicate more effectively with someone who spoke a different language but was face-to-face with us than we could with someone who spoke the same language, but via chat (or a blog post).
But those numbers are very specific to just have been randomly made up...
Here's where they come from:
According to pychcology professor Albert Mehrabian:
Now that actually makes sense! Not message. Not communication. Impression.
Furthermore, he was speaking specifically about communication about feelings, and the degree to which a person's non-verbal communication matched the verbal - as in, if a person says "I'm fine, really", but they look and sound upset, you are likely to not believe them.
In his own words, regarding this common misinterpretation of his work:
This is of course just obviously false on the face of it: if it were true, we could communicate more effectively with someone who spoke a different language but was face-to-face with us than we could with someone who spoke the same language, but via chat (or a blog post).
But those numbers are very specific to just have been randomly made up...
Here's where they come from:
According to pychcology professor Albert Mehrabian:
When you first meet new people, their initial impression of you will be based 55% on your appearance and body-language, 38% on your style of speaking and only 7% on what you actually say.Impression.
Now that actually makes sense! Not message. Not communication. Impression.
Furthermore, he was speaking specifically about communication about feelings, and the degree to which a person's non-verbal communication matched the verbal - as in, if a person says "I'm fine, really", but they look and sound upset, you are likely to not believe them.
In his own words, regarding this common misinterpretation of his work:
""Total Liking = 7% Verbal Liking + 38% Vocal Liking + 55% Facial Liking. Please note that this and other equations regarding relative importance of verbal and nonverbal messages were derived from experiments dealing with communications of feelings and attitudes (i.e., like–dislike). Unless a communicator is talking about their feelings or attitudes, these equations are not applicable."
Wednesday, 17 July 2013
Cops Shooting Unarmed Black Men
Do you remember the very large, loud, and extended public outcry over the deaths of Jason Kemp, Jordon Hatcher, Ibragim Todashev, David Silva, John Torretti, Daniel Sanez, Roy Jacobs Jr., Thomas Schroeder, Jacob Grassley, Zachary Premo, John Schaefer, and Jerry Waller?
All of these men were killed by the police, all of them just in the past 7 months (2013). In almost every case, they were unarmed.
Schaefer and Waller were both armed... they were both 70+ year old men, on their own property, with legally owned handguns, which they had out for self defense - one had a pitbull in his yard and had called the cops himself, the other was responding to the same burglar alarm that attracted police attention.Premo also had a handgun - one which he was carrying legally - though from the police report, he apparently didn't not touch it before being shot.
Hatcher was unarmed, but apparently resisted arrest.
Grassley's cellphone was assumed to be a gun, and he was shot while fleeing police.
Sanez was in handcuffs at the time he was shot.
Torretti was hit repeatedly with a baton by officers while pinned to the ground by other officers, unable to move.
Silva was so intoxicated he could barely stand up. Between 3 and 7 deputies beat him with batons until he dies. Officers then attempt to collect cellphones from witnesses that may have video on them.
Kemp was unarmed, and not fighting, when he was shot at point-blank range in his home, when he refused to let the police in without a warrant.
Jacobs had called the cops himself, to turn himself in when he found out he had a minor warrant, and the cops shot him in front of his family the moment they walked through the door.
You can be forgiven for not remembering the public uproar, the protests and articles, the petitions and signs, because there wasn't any. In fact, unless you happen to live in the city in which these men were killed, and follow the local news closely, you most likely have never heard of any of them.
You may think that this just goes to reinforce what we already know - that black men are constantly being unjustifiably killed by law enforcement, and except for the most extreme cases, the media ignores it.
Except there is one major twist. Not a single one of those people were black.
Most of them are white.
It turns out it is very challenging to find examples of cops killing unarmed white men.
Again, at first this sounds like it is supporting the idea of racial bias among cops.
But it isn't hard to find because it is so rare.
It is hard to find because when the media reports these cases, no one mentions the race of the suspect / victim.
On the other hand, in EVERY case that cops shoot an unarmed black person, race is explicitly mentioned.
So, yes, there really is a media bias. And it is toward perpetuating the belief that black men are victimized by cops.
They don't do this for any political agenda. They do this because media makes money via ratings, and nothing gets ratings better than outrage. Unfortunately, relatively little objectively reported facts generate outrage, so the only choices are to make stuff up, or to play up any extremely rare cases that happen.
This is true not just in sociopolitical issues, but in general.
When a plane crashes (such as at San Francisco last week) everyone in the country hears about it.
That crash killed 2 or 3 people.
It was the first commercial plane crash in the US in 4 years. In that span roughly 150,000 (one hundred and fifty thousand) people died in automobile crashes in the US.
3 vs 150 thousand.
Of the 150 thousand, zero made national news headlines.
The 3 deaths from a plane crash made national news BECAUSE IT IS SO RARE.
The lesson to learn from this is that if you see something on the news, that alone is very strong evidence that it almost NEVER HAPPENS. Anything you read in the paper is rare. If it was common, then it wouldn't be news.
One black man was shot in the back while in hand cuffs at a commuter train station in Oakland in 2009. There have been calls to disarm the entire transit police force. The grand total of potentially unjustified shootings by the agency, in its 37 year history, was 3. In 2008 alone there 123 murders by private citizens in Oakland.
To look at it another way: if something were really a widespread phenomenon, it would be shown by statistics. In order to make people believe something which is actually untrue, the focus has to be on individual isolated anecdotes. If all the attention of a supposed trend is on one instance, it would be a good idea to look at the stats before extrapolating that it is common.
This most recent "outrage" involves, instead of law enforcement, a neighborhood watch captain.
People are pretending that this is representative of - well, anything.
Where are all the other cases of neighborhood watch captains killing black youth in the past decade?
Having trouble thinking of the exact cases? Might it be because there are none?
A sample list of one single isolated incident does not make a trend. There is no trend. The exact details of the Zimmerman / Martin case don't matter, because this case is not representative of anything. Its just a random unfortunate thing that happened, and, just like the 12 cases listed above, if Martin had been white, and every other detail had been exactly the same, you and I would never have heard of him.
This doesn't reveal widespread racism among neighborhood watch captains. It reveals that media like to sensationalize anything they can (surprise!), and even more it reveals an eagerness of Americans to see racism and injustice. A bunch of white guys shot by police doesn't fit the narrative that we want, for some reason, to believe, so we ignore them. Instead we focus on the one or two cases of black men shot by police, pretend that they represent a larger trend, and presumably get some sort of emotional fix by being angry and outraged and raging against the system.
What does this accomplish?
Well, one thing it won't accomplish is meaningful reform, because there is no problem to begin with, therefore nothing to reform.
What it will do is reinforce the feeling among Blacks that law enforcement is the enemy. This will increase the likelihood of confrontational behavior. And that will end up causing more black people to be stopped, detained, arrested, and, in some unfortunate circumstances, occasionally killed. Because we, society, all want to believe it so bad, it makes it more likely to happen. It can become self-fulfilling prophesy. Or, at least it could, if not for police over compensating for the public perception, because despite any cultural propensity toward resistance to law enforcement that may be reinforced by media and activist's misrepresentation of profiling, in the past year fewer unarmed Black men have been killed by cops than non-Black. Proportionately less, even after considering population demographics.
And WAY less, considering violent crime rates.
We finally get to the huge issue that almost everyone (except white supremacists) desperately wants to ignore, and will even actively deny when the topic comes up in these kind of discussions: Black men commit more violent crime (proportionate to population demographics) than white men, (or than women of any race). In fact, the difference in rates by race is about as high as the difference between the genders.
Everyone can accept without apology or explanation the (accurate) fact that men commit violent crime - somewhere on the order of 5 to 20 times more often than women do. Nobody claims that this apparent disparity is because of police profiling or prejudice in the justice system or inherent bias in the law against males. No one even claims it has to do with poverty or history or education. We see the statistic that between 1980 and 2008 males committed 89.5% of all homicides, and we take it at face value.
(Of course, as I've pointed out previously, the general public tends to think women are more likely victims, despite 76.8% of homicide victims being male - when facts don't fit the popular narrative, we are quick to ignore them)
There is almost definitely some truth to racism affecting conviction rates: black youth are arrested for drug crimes at higher rates than white, despite similar rates of drug use, and blacks are given longer sentences for equivalent crimes by judges and juries.
But while a cop may look the other way when he finds a white kid smoking pot, cops don't generally let homicide slide with a warning, regardless of skin color. And these statistics are only looking at the actual commission of homicide, not of sentencing, conviction, or even arrest. Considering that, the numbers are far too dramatic to be explained away by faulty reporting or any other justification.
The data shows blacks are more likely to be murder victims than whites: 50.3% white victims vs 47.4% black (which, given the higher population of white people, means blacks are murdered disproportionately more)
http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/htus8008.pdf
However, the rate at which blacks commit murder is even higher in comparison to whites: 45.3% white murderers vs 52.5% black. Again, considering the higher population of whites, this represents a pretty dramatic difference:
20 to 175. That is almost 9 times as high.
If black youth did not commit violent crime any more often than white youth, than (like with drugs), any difference in their treatment could only be due to racism. But that is simply not the case.
It sucks that this is true. I don't like admitting it, never mind talking about it, or going out of my way to draw attention to it. But it has to be said. It has to be admitted.
We have to take that into consideration before we call it racist for a person to be more wary of young black males than young white males. We have to take it into consideration before we call it racist if cops stop young blacks more than young whites. We have to take it into consideration before we call it racist that more blacks are in prison than white. And we even have to take it into consideration before calling it racist that cops may be in situations where they mistake cellphones and wallets for guns more often when the suspect is black.
Racism is assuming that any specific person is a criminal, regardless of their individual actions, because of their race. But thinking any random person of a particular race is more likely to be a criminal is not racism, if it is in fact a statistically accurate belief. It is no more racist to fear a black stranger more than a white one, than it is to fear a male stranger more than a female one. As it happens, both groups commit violent crime more than their counterparts at roughly the same rate.
Given that a young black male is statistically 9 times more likely to murder you than a young white male, wouldn't you expect someone who feels vulnerable to be more likely to cross the street to avoid one? Given that a young black male is 9 times more likely to commit murder than a young white male, wouldn't you expect them to get more police attention, get into more altercations with police, and, as a result, get shot more often by police?
If you wanted to break that trend, what would likely be the best way to do that?
By trying to convince everyone that the statistics - which are confirmed by each of our individual experience - are wrong, and convincing cops to give black suspects the benefit of the doubt?
Or by working to reduce violence in the black community?
If the latter, does repeatedly telling black youth that cops are the enemy further that goal? Or does it work against it?
Does telling black youth that they are victims of the system, that they are discriminated against by every aspect of society, that their own actions have little if any bearing on their perception by white America, do these things encourage black youth to become non-violent, responsible adults?
These are rhetorical questions. They do not. Blacks are not unfairly victimized by cops, but that message being repeated constantly by both media and activists does encourage them to be disrespectful, to resist arrest, and to use violence against police officers. It does encourage them to use crime as a means of getting ahead, as opposed to education. It does teach them that they have no responsibility for or role in rising out of poverty, that they will be down-trodden no matter what they do.
Every low income young adult in America is eligible for a Pell grant, which can more than cover the cost of tuition, fees, and books at many junior colleges, and a significant portion of costs at public 4 year universities. Everyone who applies for a Pell grant gets one. Yet only 11% of them go to Black youth. Together with the school's own scholarships, any low income person can get a college education.
The lower rate of Blacks with college degrees is not a consequence of institutional racism. Its a consequence of Black people not applying for college. It's the consequence of a lot of individual choices, made largely on the basis of cultural expectations. A person is told constantly that they will not succeed, because the system is against them. So they don't even try. Lacking an education, they stay poor. Being poor, they are more likely to resort to crime. Being criminals, they are more likely to have run-ins with cops. And the cycle continues.
When we choose to protest extremely rare events in an attempt to call attention to a trend that doesn't exist, we perpetuate and reinforce that cycle. It is counter-productive.
As a black male, watching all these well meaning activists actively making the situation worse is hard to watch. Even worse, this inaccurate and destructive message has gone mainstream, and almost everyone is buying into it. It is born of a combination of confusing the past for the present (blacks were at one time discriminated against by society, therefore it must still be happening) and white guilt (if we say that blacks commit more violent crime, that must mean we are racist).
Until we can get past those two things, nothing will improve.
It is very gratifying to people to be outraged. Take a breath, step outside of the group-think, and ask yourself what the problem is, what you want to accomplish, and what the overall effects of your reaction are likely to be. If you are like the majority of outraged people, at best, all you are doing is feeding the advertisers of news media. At worse, you are reinforcing stereotypes are creating a self-fulfilling prophesy. Either way, you probably aren't helping. People enjoy being outraged, but resist it. Think instead.
Do you want more racial equality in America?
Instead of encouraging black youth to hate cops, encourage them to go to college.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
John Schaefer
> http://www.statesman.com/news/ news/crime-law/officer- involved-shooting-prompts- questions/nWnZ4/
Jerry Waller
http://blogs.dallasobserver. com/unfairpark/2013/05/jerry_ waller_a_72-year-old_gra.php
Jason Kemp
http://www.thedenverchannel. com/news/aclu-sues-state- troopers-over-man-s-shooting- death
Jordon Hatcher
http://www.innocentdown.org/ 2013/01/24/jordan-hatcher/
Ibragim Todashev
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Ibragim_Todashev#Ibragim_ Todashev_interview_and_death
David Silva
http://www.policymic.com/ articles/42355/david-sal- silva-video-confiscated-by- police-officers-shows-them- beating-man-to-death
John Torretti
http://sacramento.cbslocal. com/2013/05/27/man-who-died- in-sacramento-police-custody- identified/
Daniel Sanez
http://www.elpasotimes.com/ news/ci_22777262/friends- mourn-man-shot-by-el-paso- police
Roy Jacobs Jr.
http://www.spokesman.com/ stories/2013/jun/01/spokane- valley-police-involved-in- fatal-shooting/
Thomas Schroeder
http://stjoechannel.com/ fulltext?nxd_id=324542
Jacob Grassley
http://www.mlive.com/news/ kalamazoo/index.ssf/2013/06/ kalamazoo_police_sergeant_who. html
Zachary Premo
http://www.duluthnewstribune. com/event/article/id/269813/
Full list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ List_of_killings_by_law_ enforcement_officers_in_the_ United_States_2013
All of these men were killed by the police, all of them just in the past 7 months (2013). In almost every case, they were unarmed.
Schaefer and Waller were both armed... they were both 70+ year old men, on their own property, with legally owned handguns, which they had out for self defense - one had a pitbull in his yard and had called the cops himself, the other was responding to the same burglar alarm that attracted police attention.Premo also had a handgun - one which he was carrying legally - though from the police report, he apparently didn't not touch it before being shot.
Hatcher was unarmed, but apparently resisted arrest.
Grassley's cellphone was assumed to be a gun, and he was shot while fleeing police.
Sanez was in handcuffs at the time he was shot.
Torretti was hit repeatedly with a baton by officers while pinned to the ground by other officers, unable to move.
Silva was so intoxicated he could barely stand up. Between 3 and 7 deputies beat him with batons until he dies. Officers then attempt to collect cellphones from witnesses that may have video on them.
Kemp was unarmed, and not fighting, when he was shot at point-blank range in his home, when he refused to let the police in without a warrant.
Jacobs had called the cops himself, to turn himself in when he found out he had a minor warrant, and the cops shot him in front of his family the moment they walked through the door.
You can be forgiven for not remembering the public uproar, the protests and articles, the petitions and signs, because there wasn't any. In fact, unless you happen to live in the city in which these men were killed, and follow the local news closely, you most likely have never heard of any of them.
You may think that this just goes to reinforce what we already know - that black men are constantly being unjustifiably killed by law enforcement, and except for the most extreme cases, the media ignores it.
Except there is one major twist. Not a single one of those people were black.
Most of them are white.
It turns out it is very challenging to find examples of cops killing unarmed white men.
Again, at first this sounds like it is supporting the idea of racial bias among cops.
But it isn't hard to find because it is so rare.
It is hard to find because when the media reports these cases, no one mentions the race of the suspect / victim.
On the other hand, in EVERY case that cops shoot an unarmed black person, race is explicitly mentioned.
(As a result, the only way for me to find all those examples was to go, one by one, through every instance of police shootings in the US, eliminate those where the suspect was armed, and then search for a picture of the victim. Each case is linked at the bottom of this page, along with a link to the list of all police shooting so far this year)
So, yes, there really is a media bias. And it is toward perpetuating the belief that black men are victimized by cops.
They don't do this for any political agenda. They do this because media makes money via ratings, and nothing gets ratings better than outrage. Unfortunately, relatively little objectively reported facts generate outrage, so the only choices are to make stuff up, or to play up any extremely rare cases that happen.
This is true not just in sociopolitical issues, but in general.
When a plane crashes (such as at San Francisco last week) everyone in the country hears about it.
That crash killed 2 or 3 people.
It was the first commercial plane crash in the US in 4 years. In that span roughly 150,000 (one hundred and fifty thousand) people died in automobile crashes in the US.
3 vs 150 thousand.
Of the 150 thousand, zero made national news headlines.
The 3 deaths from a plane crash made national news BECAUSE IT IS SO RARE.
The lesson to learn from this is that if you see something on the news, that alone is very strong evidence that it almost NEVER HAPPENS. Anything you read in the paper is rare. If it was common, then it wouldn't be news.
One black man was shot in the back while in hand cuffs at a commuter train station in Oakland in 2009. There have been calls to disarm the entire transit police force. The grand total of potentially unjustified shootings by the agency, in its 37 year history, was 3. In 2008 alone there 123 murders by private citizens in Oakland.
To look at it another way: if something were really a widespread phenomenon, it would be shown by statistics. In order to make people believe something which is actually untrue, the focus has to be on individual isolated anecdotes. If all the attention of a supposed trend is on one instance, it would be a good idea to look at the stats before extrapolating that it is common.
This most recent "outrage" involves, instead of law enforcement, a neighborhood watch captain.
People are pretending that this is representative of - well, anything.
Where are all the other cases of neighborhood watch captains killing black youth in the past decade?
Having trouble thinking of the exact cases? Might it be because there are none?
A sample list of one single isolated incident does not make a trend. There is no trend. The exact details of the Zimmerman / Martin case don't matter, because this case is not representative of anything. Its just a random unfortunate thing that happened, and, just like the 12 cases listed above, if Martin had been white, and every other detail had been exactly the same, you and I would never have heard of him.
This doesn't reveal widespread racism among neighborhood watch captains. It reveals that media like to sensationalize anything they can (surprise!), and even more it reveals an eagerness of Americans to see racism and injustice. A bunch of white guys shot by police doesn't fit the narrative that we want, for some reason, to believe, so we ignore them. Instead we focus on the one or two cases of black men shot by police, pretend that they represent a larger trend, and presumably get some sort of emotional fix by being angry and outraged and raging against the system.
What does this accomplish?
Well, one thing it won't accomplish is meaningful reform, because there is no problem to begin with, therefore nothing to reform.
What it will do is reinforce the feeling among Blacks that law enforcement is the enemy. This will increase the likelihood of confrontational behavior. And that will end up causing more black people to be stopped, detained, arrested, and, in some unfortunate circumstances, occasionally killed. Because we, society, all want to believe it so bad, it makes it more likely to happen. It can become self-fulfilling prophesy. Or, at least it could, if not for police over compensating for the public perception, because despite any cultural propensity toward resistance to law enforcement that may be reinforced by media and activist's misrepresentation of profiling, in the past year fewer unarmed Black men have been killed by cops than non-Black. Proportionately less, even after considering population demographics.
And WAY less, considering violent crime rates.
We finally get to the huge issue that almost everyone (except white supremacists) desperately wants to ignore, and will even actively deny when the topic comes up in these kind of discussions: Black men commit more violent crime (proportionate to population demographics) than white men, (or than women of any race). In fact, the difference in rates by race is about as high as the difference between the genders.
Everyone can accept without apology or explanation the (accurate) fact that men commit violent crime - somewhere on the order of 5 to 20 times more often than women do. Nobody claims that this apparent disparity is because of police profiling or prejudice in the justice system or inherent bias in the law against males. No one even claims it has to do with poverty or history or education. We see the statistic that between 1980 and 2008 males committed 89.5% of all homicides, and we take it at face value.
(Of course, as I've pointed out previously, the general public tends to think women are more likely victims, despite 76.8% of homicide victims being male - when facts don't fit the popular narrative, we are quick to ignore them)
There is almost definitely some truth to racism affecting conviction rates: black youth are arrested for drug crimes at higher rates than white, despite similar rates of drug use, and blacks are given longer sentences for equivalent crimes by judges and juries.
But while a cop may look the other way when he finds a white kid smoking pot, cops don't generally let homicide slide with a warning, regardless of skin color. And these statistics are only looking at the actual commission of homicide, not of sentencing, conviction, or even arrest. Considering that, the numbers are far too dramatic to be explained away by faulty reporting or any other justification.
The data shows blacks are more likely to be murder victims than whites: 50.3% white victims vs 47.4% black (which, given the higher population of white people, means blacks are murdered disproportionately more)
http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/htus8008.pdf
However, the rate at which blacks commit murder is even higher in comparison to whites: 45.3% white murderers vs 52.5% black. Again, considering the higher population of whites, this represents a pretty dramatic difference:
The rate of homicides committed by white male young adults (18 to 24 years old) was 20.4 offenders per 100,000 in 2008.
The rate of homicides committed by black male young adults was 175.8 offenders per 100,000 in 2008.
20 to 175. That is almost 9 times as high.
If black youth did not commit violent crime any more often than white youth, than (like with drugs), any difference in their treatment could only be due to racism. But that is simply not the case.
It sucks that this is true. I don't like admitting it, never mind talking about it, or going out of my way to draw attention to it. But it has to be said. It has to be admitted.
We have to take that into consideration before we call it racist for a person to be more wary of young black males than young white males. We have to take it into consideration before we call it racist if cops stop young blacks more than young whites. We have to take it into consideration before we call it racist that more blacks are in prison than white. And we even have to take it into consideration before calling it racist that cops may be in situations where they mistake cellphones and wallets for guns more often when the suspect is black.
Racism is assuming that any specific person is a criminal, regardless of their individual actions, because of their race. But thinking any random person of a particular race is more likely to be a criminal is not racism, if it is in fact a statistically accurate belief. It is no more racist to fear a black stranger more than a white one, than it is to fear a male stranger more than a female one. As it happens, both groups commit violent crime more than their counterparts at roughly the same rate.
Given that a young black male is statistically 9 times more likely to murder you than a young white male, wouldn't you expect someone who feels vulnerable to be more likely to cross the street to avoid one? Given that a young black male is 9 times more likely to commit murder than a young white male, wouldn't you expect them to get more police attention, get into more altercations with police, and, as a result, get shot more often by police?
If you wanted to break that trend, what would likely be the best way to do that?
By trying to convince everyone that the statistics - which are confirmed by each of our individual experience - are wrong, and convincing cops to give black suspects the benefit of the doubt?
Or by working to reduce violence in the black community?
If the latter, does repeatedly telling black youth that cops are the enemy further that goal? Or does it work against it?
Does telling black youth that they are victims of the system, that they are discriminated against by every aspect of society, that their own actions have little if any bearing on their perception by white America, do these things encourage black youth to become non-violent, responsible adults?
These are rhetorical questions. They do not. Blacks are not unfairly victimized by cops, but that message being repeated constantly by both media and activists does encourage them to be disrespectful, to resist arrest, and to use violence against police officers. It does encourage them to use crime as a means of getting ahead, as opposed to education. It does teach them that they have no responsibility for or role in rising out of poverty, that they will be down-trodden no matter what they do.
Every low income young adult in America is eligible for a Pell grant, which can more than cover the cost of tuition, fees, and books at many junior colleges, and a significant portion of costs at public 4 year universities. Everyone who applies for a Pell grant gets one. Yet only 11% of them go to Black youth. Together with the school's own scholarships, any low income person can get a college education.
The lower rate of Blacks with college degrees is not a consequence of institutional racism. Its a consequence of Black people not applying for college. It's the consequence of a lot of individual choices, made largely on the basis of cultural expectations. A person is told constantly that they will not succeed, because the system is against them. So they don't even try. Lacking an education, they stay poor. Being poor, they are more likely to resort to crime. Being criminals, they are more likely to have run-ins with cops. And the cycle continues.
When we choose to protest extremely rare events in an attempt to call attention to a trend that doesn't exist, we perpetuate and reinforce that cycle. It is counter-productive.
As a black male, watching all these well meaning activists actively making the situation worse is hard to watch. Even worse, this inaccurate and destructive message has gone mainstream, and almost everyone is buying into it. It is born of a combination of confusing the past for the present (blacks were at one time discriminated against by society, therefore it must still be happening) and white guilt (if we say that blacks commit more violent crime, that must mean we are racist).
Until we can get past those two things, nothing will improve.
It is very gratifying to people to be outraged. Take a breath, step outside of the group-think, and ask yourself what the problem is, what you want to accomplish, and what the overall effects of your reaction are likely to be. If you are like the majority of outraged people, at best, all you are doing is feeding the advertisers of news media. At worse, you are reinforcing stereotypes are creating a self-fulfilling prophesy. Either way, you probably aren't helping. People enjoy being outraged, but resist it. Think instead.
Do you want more racial equality in America?
Instead of encouraging black youth to hate cops, encourage them to go to college.
(P.S. This should in no way be taken as a claim that racism no longer exists.
See my previous posts:heading 14; in which reparations are still due
Race (Whites still winning)
and
Awareness of white privilege VS actually working to change it
for more)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
John Schaefer
> http://www.statesman.com/news/
Jerry Waller
http://blogs.dallasobserver.
Jason Kemp
http://www.thedenverchannel.
Jordon Hatcher
http://www.innocentdown.org/
Ibragim Todashev
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
David Silva
http://www.policymic.com/
John Torretti
http://sacramento.cbslocal.
Daniel Sanez
http://www.elpasotimes.com/
Roy Jacobs Jr.
http://www.spokesman.com/
Thomas Schroeder
http://stjoechannel.com/
Jacob Grassley
http://www.mlive.com/news/
Zachary Premo
http://www.duluthnewstribune.
Full list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
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